r/Bitcoin • u/Suitable_Acadia_190 • 1h ago
Every rounding bottom BTC's ever had took longer to build than the move that followed it took to play out
Every base on this chart followed the same shape, long slow accumulation, then a fast release once it actually goes. The 2020 base took months of sideways grinding before the real move started. Same with the base before that. The pattern's been consistent every single time.
Thats backwards from how people usually watch this. The instinct is to focus on the fast part, thats where price screams and everyone notices. But the fast part is just the release. The base is where the actual decision gets made, slowly, while its boring enough that most people stop paying attention and assume nothings happening.
Current structure looks like its sitting in that same stage again, the slow grinding part before any acceleration, not after it. Doesnt come with a countdown, bases never do. But long slow base into fast move has held every single time on this chart so far, and right now still reads like the boring part, not the loud part.
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u/Patient_Craft2195 59m ago
the read isn't wrong accumulation does take longer than the markup, that's just supply getting absorbed before a move. the catch is survivorship: you're only counting the bases that resolved up. plenty of long boring grinds also broke down or kept grinding another year it only looks inevitable in hindsight.still the boring part also has no timeframe. a base can grind six more months or break first. right idea on structure, just don't let a clean chart sell you certainty a base never actually gives.