r/Bitcoin • u/Suitable_Acadia_190 • 1d ago
Whats happened to Bitcoin every time after Gold pumps again...?
Gold just did something it hasnt done in this size before. Every prior leg up in gold has eventually bled capital into Bitcoin on a lag, not immediately, but reliably.
Look at the marked bottoms on both charts, theyre not lined up by date, theyre lined up by structure. Rounded accumulation, a spring, then the same reversal candle right at the low. Happens on gold first, then BTC does what BTC does, and rips, when the majority think its dead.
What makes this one different is scale. This isnt a normal gold rally, this is the biggest rotation into gold on record, meaning theres more profit sitting there right now than any prior cycle, waiting to get bored or scared or greedy enough to look for the next asymmetric trade. BTC is sitting at the most oversold structural point of its own pattern at the exact moment that pile of capital exists.
Nobody knows the timing. I dont either. But if you zoom out on every rotation golds ever had, the setup on Bitcoin in all cases so far saw more upside in % gains than it currently big brother to the left.
I built a career reading how to profit from patterns like these before they play out live, doesnt mean it guaranteed by any means, but this is one of the cleanest versions Ive seen.
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u/x1alpha 20h ago
With the last 2 gold “rallies”, bitcoin suddenly correlated with the upswing of gold. Right now, it looks more that bitcoin is the “new kid on the block” for debasement trades - together with gold. Bitcoin wasn’t even delayed in that regards. I’m not saying BTC is the new safe haven for panics, but it looks like it might be for USD debasement.
People losing trust in the USD right now, thus they look for safe havens. Gold is / was the “standard”, CHF is too small, EUR is too fragmented, JPY is getting weaker (high debt, bad demographics, political instability), so there’s not “much left”.
IMHO the reason why BTC in the past rallied after gold: people used gold as safe haven (gold rises) during panics, then panic settles, and people start investing money back into risk assets (such as BTC). However, as mentioned before, BTC now rises together with gold during USD debasement (!= panic).
I think the next rally for BTC could be triggered by the US though. Since the government is buying back long end bonds, they’ve to issue new short end bonds to pay for it. However, they fear they don’t find enough buyers at some point and thus they pushed the GENIUS act through. What I mean: USD stable coins are backed by tbills. We (the crypto community) and the US government suddenly have the same goal: geting more money into crypto - the incentives are different though. The government needs a new buyer market for treasuries, we want more money in the market so “number goes up”. I think this will be the next catalyst for crypto (term “crypto” objectively seen w/ BTC included).
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u/Elfroid 22h ago
Thats what everyone said when the last bear market hit.